U.S. Tariffs and Sanctions Hit Indian Markets - Why the UAE Is a Smart Pivot
Export Shock & Currency Pressure The U.S. has recently escalated tariffs on Indian exports to a staggering 50% , targeting roughly two-thirds of the country’s exported goods. Sectors like textiles, gems, jewelry, shrimps, and furniture are bearing the brunt of this punitive measure. It threatens to shrink India’s exports to the U.S. by nearly $37 billion, jeopardizing jobs and disrupting supply chains. The financial stress is palpable. The Indian rupee slid past ₹88 to the dollar , its lowest level ever, prompting central bank intervention. The depreciation could shave off 60–80 basis points from India’s GDP and poses mounting pressure on export-intensive sectors. Resilient Growth & Sectoral Shifts Despite these headwinds, India’s economy remains robust. GDP growth clocked in at an impressive 7.8% in Q2 FY2025, driven by strength in manufacturing, construction, agriculture, and consumer demand. Sector-wise, analysts suggest looking beyond impacted industries. Domestic ph...